Preseason Rankings
New Hampshire
America East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#316
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.3#317
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#328
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#271
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 14.9% 34.2% 12.2%
.500 or above in Conference 27.4% 43.9% 25.1%
Conference Champion 2.1% 4.3% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 25.8% 14.4% 27.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 12.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.50.0 - 0.5
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.90.0 - 1.4
Quad 20.2 - 2.10.2 - 3.5
Quad 31.2 - 5.61.3 - 9.1
Quad 47.7 - 8.89.0 - 18.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 154   @ Massachusetts L 62-72 12%    
  Nov 16, 2018 242   @ American L 63-68 24%    
  Nov 20, 2018 238   Quinnipiac L 64-69 44%    
  Nov 25, 2018 96   @ Connecticut L 59-73 6%    
  Nov 28, 2018 223   Boston University L 64-69 41%    
  Dec 01, 2018 315   @ Bryant L 71-72 40%    
  Dec 04, 2018 52   @ Seton Hall L 59-78 3%    
  Dec 09, 2018 268   @ Niagara L 72-75 30%    
  Dec 19, 2018 274   Marist L 68-71 49%    
  Dec 22, 2018 220   Fairfield L 65-71 41%    
  Dec 30, 2018 276   @ Dartmouth L 64-67 30%    
  Jan 05, 2019 269   @ Binghamton L 63-66 30%    
  Jan 09, 2019 306   Umass Lowell L 71-72 57%    
  Jan 12, 2019 222   @ Stony Brook L 62-68 24%    
  Jan 16, 2019 124   Vermont L 58-70 22%    
  Jan 23, 2019 193   @ Hartford L 63-70 19%    
  Jan 26, 2019 214   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63-69 40%    
  Jan 30, 2019 278   Albany L 62-65 50%    
  Feb 03, 2019 327   @ Maine W 68-66 47%    
  Feb 06, 2019 306   @ Umass Lowell L 71-72 37%    
  Feb 09, 2019 269   Binghamton L 63-66 49%    
  Feb 13, 2019 124   @ Vermont L 58-70 11%    
  Feb 16, 2019 222   Stony Brook L 62-68 41%    
  Feb 21, 2019 193   Hartford L 63-70 35%    
  Feb 27, 2019 278   @ Albany L 62-65 30%    
  Mar 02, 2019 214   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63-69 23%    
  Mar 05, 2019 327   Maine W 68-66 66%    
Projected Record 9.0 - 18.0 5.8 - 10.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.9 3.5 0.9 0.1 9.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.6 4.2 0.8 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 6.6 5.0 0.9 0.0 14.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.9 6.6 5.1 1.1 0.0 16.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 5.1 6.6 3.8 0.7 0.0 17.9 8th
9th 1.3 3.7 5.4 5.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 17.9 9th
Total 1.3 3.8 6.9 10.8 11.7 12.7 13.8 11.6 9.6 7.4 4.4 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 94.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-3 69.1% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
12-4 40.7% 0.7    0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0
11-5 16.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
10-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.3% 0.3
13-3 0.7% 0.7
12-4 1.7% 1.7
11-5 3.3% 3.3
10-6 4.4% 4.4
9-7 7.4% 7.4
8-8 9.6% 9.6
7-9 11.6% 11.6
6-10 13.8% 13.8
5-11 12.7% 12.7
4-12 11.7% 11.7
3-13 10.8% 10.8
2-14 6.9% 6.9
1-15 3.8% 3.8
0-16 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%